PROCEEDINGS IPMU '08


A hierarchical fusion of expert opinion in the TBM

Minh Ha-Duong.

We define a hierarchical method for expert opinion aggregation that combines consonant beliefs in the Transferable Belief Model. Experts are grouped into schools of thought, then opinions are aggregated using the cautious conjunction operator within groups and the noninteractive disjunction across. This method is illustrated with a realworld dataset including 16 experts.

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